For a change, the Screen Actors Guild Awards will be the last of the four major guilds to award awards this year, which takes the rear on a calendar that also included Director of directors and Producers guild on the 8th of February and Writers Guild February 15th. When the SAG Award arrives on February 23, some of the burning questions that have been hanging during this award ceremony may have been answered (“Anora” swept the DGA, PGA and WGA Award), but others will still be blunt.
For example: can “wicked” pull off a swipe at Sag Awards, which can potentially stop “Anoras” Oscar Frontunner -StatusAnd increase their own best image chances?
The ingredients are really in place. Director Jon M. Chus Musical Block Buster was The most nominated film with Sag with five nodsLubricate it as a favorite among actors – who by the way form the largest Oscars voting body at the academy. This is a narrative sign that the film, which has earned more than $ 725 million on Global Box Office since its edition November 2024, has achieved the rare triple threat: equally loved by critics, film guests and awards. With nominations to the best ensemble, lead actress (Cynthia Erivo), Supporting Actress (Ariana Grande), Supporting Actor (Jonathan Bailey) and The Stunt Team, Sag gives the film their best shot at a late Oscar power.
However, it is worth noting that the SAG Award takes place five days after the end of the Oscar vote, which means that SAG cannot give any film or performance speed that will affect the vote; All that can do is reflect that the academy’s actors may have thought when its members voted.
Perceptions can still change if “evil” converts one of their five nominations into profits. (No movie has ever gathered more than four SAG awards.) Four of the last five SA Sag Embiners have properly predicted the possible best picture Oscar -Winner: “Oppenheimer” (2024), “Everything everywhere at once” (2023) , “Coda” (2022) and “Parasite” (2020). (The one exception was “The Trial of the Chicago 7”, which won The Ensemble Award 2021 When the winner of Oscar Best Picture was “Nomadland”, not even nominated by Sag.)
“Evil” May be the first musical to take home the Ensemble Award during the 22 years ago “Chicago”, which continued to win Oscar for best picture. The four other nominated throws are also best image challengers – “A Completely Unknown”, “Anora”, “Conclave” and Emilia Pérez ” – which makes it an important race to look at.
Almost all categories for film actors are close to coal copies of their Oscar equivalents, except for a handful of remarkable swaps. “Queer’s” Daniel Craig carved in for the main actor of “The Apprentice’s” Sebastian Stan, who received an Oscar nomination; “The Last Showgirl’s” Pamela Anderson took “I’m still here’s” Fernanda Torres’ lead actress slot; And the 2,000 plus the actors in the SAG-Nomination Committee preferred Bailey’s theater “Wicked” Performance like Fiyero to “The Brutalist’s” Guy Pearce as an unpleasant thycoon. Supporting actresses Jamie Lee Curtis (“The Last Showgirl”) and Danielle Deadwyler (“Piano lesson”) received advantage with their actors, who voted them in the Oscar Award -nominated Felicity Jones (“The Brutalist”) and Isabella Rossellini (” “Conlav”).
It is safe to assume that the crowned champion in the categories of the film actors will get a good shot at Oscar. It is a matter of Sag-Aftra members will want to reward arthouse performances (“The brutalist”, “The substance”) over populist musical favorites (“wicked”, “a completely unknown”) or vice versa. For this reason, Adrien Brody’s biggest competition may be the Timothée Chalamet for best actors, and Edward Norton (or even Bailey) can give Kieran Culkin a fear of supporting the actor. If “Wicked” turns out to be the highest preference of the evening, Demi Moore may fall into Erivo for best actress and Zoe Saldaña can admit Grande in support, although both of these are serious longshots.
On the TV page there are many fewer surprises. Familiar Frontrunners from “Shōgun” (who topped all TV nominees with five nods), “The Bear”, “Hacks”, “Abbott Elementary”, “Just Murder in the building” And “Baby Reindeer” populates the actress categories and is in line with the latest winners Emmy and Golden Globe. (Sag Awards does not distinguish between lead and support performances for television, sometimes creates a unique hodgepodge of nominees.)
Dividends loveds like “Shōgun’s” Anna Sawai and Hiroyuki Sanada are strongly favored in the drama categories (although Sanada will have to fight with its Golden Globe-winning co-star Tadanobu Asano). “Hacks” “Jean Smart and” The Bear’s “Ayo Edebiri, the last two comedy actresses, will probably meet the hardware. A big night can also be in store for” The Bear’s “Jeremy Allen White, who could gather his third straight comedy actor and become the second actor to Tre-Torv (after Alec Baldwin, who won a remarkable seven in a row for “30 Rock ”).
The same can be said for “True Detective’s” Jodie Foster, after her Emmy and Golden Golden Globe victories, and “The Penguin’s” Colin Farrell, whose latest Golden Globe win can signal a passage of the relay from “Baby Reindeer’s” Richard Gadd in Limited series .
If there are any potential takeaways with the Emmy season just around the corner, voters seem particularly high on new prices like Peacock’s international thriller “The Day of the Jackal” and Netflix romantic comedy “Nobody wants this.” Both series received several Golden Globe nods in January and have two pieces from SAG.
Spoilers are of course always on the table.
Keri Russell or Kathy Bates Besting Sawai? Eddie Redmayne or Gary Oldman over Sanada? “Nobody wants this” “Kristen Bell (who is also hosted the show) and Adam Brody that dominates the comedygegories?” Bridgerton “ Roll that draws an upset about “shōgun”? Harrison Ford won for the first time?
Sag Awards are not known for shocks, at least not since Johnny Depp won for “Pirates of the Caribbean” 2004 – But when 120,000+ actors vote, you never know.
The 31st annual Screen Actors Guild Awards Stream Live Sunday 23 February at. 17.00 PT/20 et on Netflix.
